Skip to main content

Expecting a dollar rally?

(EUR/USD chart courtesy of ForexRate.co.uk).

The dollar hit new lows against the Euro yesterday, and today.

Here's the latest update from RTTNEws:

Forex - Greenback Drops Further Against Majors [EUR/USD]

2/28/2008 12:23:15 PM The US dollar dropped further against its major counterparts at about 12:15 pm ET. As of now, it is trading near 1.5201 versus the euro, 1.0509 versus the franc, 1.9911 against the pound and 105.38 against the yen.

At this point, anyone who's been banking on an imminent dollar rally probably feels a bit like Linus waiting around for the Great Pumpkin on Halloween night.

Still, some well known investors, like Jim Rogers, are expecting a short term dollar rally at some point in the not-too-distant future.

Rogers told reporters at a Dublin investor conference that he expects the dollar to continue its long-term decline, but that he also expected an upcoming dollar rally, as current sentiment toward the currency was overwhelmingly bearish.

"There are so many people bearish on the dollar right now including me and normally when that happens something comes along to cause a rally even if it is a bear market," he said."

Nevertheless, Rogers held to his negative longer-term picture for the dollar, and said he would use any upcoming dollar rally as an opportunity to unload the rest of his dollar-denominated assets.

You can listen to Jim Rogers' comments in this Bloomberg audio clip.

Lately, we're hearing more and more about the dollar's diminishing status as the world's reserve currency. The dollar has been declining against most major currencies over the last several years, and most of those currencies have not been so great themselves, as rampant global inflation becomes evident even to casual observers.

It seems more people are slowly waking up to the fact that it's not just the US dollar that's in trouble, it's the global system based on fiat currency and debt.

Popular posts from this blog

Seth Klarman: Margin of Safety (pdf)

Welcome, readers! Signup for free email updates at the Finance Trends Newsletter . Update: PDF links removed due to DMCA notice. Please see our extensive Klarman book notes below. New visitors, please check the Finance Trends home page for all new posts. Here's something for anyone who has been trying to get a look at Seth Klarman's now famous, and out of print, 1991 investment book, Margin of Safety .  My knowledge of value investing is pretty much limited to what I've read in Ben Graham's The Intelligent Investor (the book which originally popularized the investment concept of a "Margin of Safety"), so check out the wisdom from Seth Klarman and other investing greats in our related posts below. You can also go straight to Ronald Redfield's Margin of Safety book notes .    Related posts: 1. Seth Klarman interviews and Margin of Safety notes     2. Seth Klarman: Lessons from 2008 3. Investing Lessons from Sir John Templeton 4.

Clean Money - John Rubino: Book review

Clean Money by John Rubino 274 pages. Hoboken, New Jersey John Wiley & Sons. 2009. 1st Edition. The bouyant stock market environment of the past several years is gone, and the financial wreckage of 2008 is still sharp in our minds as a new year starts to unfold. Given the recent across-the-board-declines in global stock markets (and most asset classes) that have left many investors shell-shocked, you might wonder if there is any good reason to consider the merits of a hot new investment theme, such as clean energy. However, we shouldn't be too hasty to write off all future stock investments. After all, the market declines of 2008 may continue into 2009, but they may also leave interesting investment opportunities in their wake. Which brings us to the subject of this review. John Rubino, author and editor of GreenStockInvesting.com , recently released a new book on renewable energy and clean-tech investing entitled, Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green Tech Boom . In Clean

Slate profiles Victor Niederhoffer

Slate's recent profile of writer/speculator, Vic Niederhoffer has been getting some attention from traders and finance types in recent days. I thought we'd take a look at it here too, to offer up some possible educational value from Vic's experiences with trading and loss. Here's an excerpt from Slate's profile of Victor Niederhoffer : " I've enjoyed getting your e-mails. It sounds like you've thought a lot about being wrong. Well, the reason you contacted me, to call a spade a spade, is that I'm sort of infamous for having made a big, notorious, terrible error not once but twice in my market career. Let's talk about those errors. The first was your investment in the Thai baht, which pretty much wiped you out when the Thai stock market crashed in 1997. I made so many errors there it's pathetic. I made one of my favorite errors: "The mouse with one hole is quickly cornered." That is key. There are certain decisions you make in li